A fresh [UK, not Eire] poll from Survation puts the result at 54 per cent for remaining if the referendum on membership of the EU took place today, versus 46 per cent voting to leave. That's a swing from the closely run result last year, when 51.9 per cent wanted to leave the EU and 48.1 per cent wanted to remain.
From the same source...
Given that Irish trade with the UK is worth €1.2bn per week, Brexit risks "massively damaging the economic relationship" between the two countries under the current EU customs system, [Ray Bassett] said. Industries that are at particular risk include Ireland's fishing industry and its thoroughbred horse industry.
"Therefore, given the circumstances, Irexit has to be the option for Ireland in a hard Brexit situation," Bassett* said.
Unquote. *Former Irish diplomat occasional political commentator and lecturer on Conflict resolution.
It is not just peace in Northern Ireland that is being questioned. The economy of the Republic of Ireland (ROI or Eire) will be harmed if the UK leaves the EU's Customs Union. For certain industries, the UK's access to the Single Market can be important too. It isn't impossible that Brexit (if it happens) will lead to Irexit.
Edited by Zeff, 03 July 2017 - 05:12 AM.